The Takeaway
The third quarter of 2025 marked a policy pivot by the Federal Reserve, which shifted its focus toward sustaining economic growth over curbing inflation, by reducing the federal funds rate by 25 basis points.
Shorter-maturity Treasury yields declined by an average of 35 basis points, while longer-maturity yields decreased more modestly, falling only 8 basis points.
The Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index provided the best risk/return characteristics over the third quarter of 2025 driven by increased demand in the loan market and comparatively higher base rates prevailing in the US.
The Morningstar Leveraged Loan Monitor for Q3 2025 provides a comprehensive overview of the leveraged loan market, focusing on the US, European, and global indexes. The third quarter was marked by central bank policy shifts, with the US Federal Reserve and Bank of England cutting rates to support economic growth, while the European Central Bank held rates steady. Leveraged loan yields and spreads in the US continued to tighten, while European spreads edged higher but remained near historic lows. The Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index provided the best risk/return characteristics over the third quarter of 2025 driven by increased demand in the loan market and comparatively higher base rates prevailing in the US. Issuance activity surged in both regions, with the US and Europe seeing significant increases in new loan volumes.

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