The Takeaway
- The Morningstar PitchBook Developed Markets Listed Private Equity Index tells the story of a secular trend: the boom in private markets.
- Measuring private-market performance through private-capital funds, the Morningstar PitchBook Global Unicorn Index, and returns for mutual funds with private holdings reveals a mixed picture.
- For private markets managers, "Convergence" represents both a threat and an opportunity. For investors, an altered opportunity set has real impact—small-cap US equities leveraged loans are two examples.
What's the better investment—a mutual fund or a mutual fund company? Morningstar analysts tackled this question several times in the 1990s and 2000s, comparing the returns of funds to the share price performance of public fund managers. Data typically favored the latter. This pointed to the asset-light, scalable nature of the investment management business and to what Vanguard founder Jack Bogle called the inherent conflict of serving "two masters"—fund investors and fund company investors.
Times have changed. Several headwinds face the asset management industry, including fee compression, the shift to passive investing, regulatory changes, distribution costs, and an aging population. Indeed, the Morningstar Global Asset Management Index has lagged the broad equity market over the past decade.
Managers focused on private markets have fared much better. The Morningstar PitchBook Developed Markets Listed Private Equity Index has gained nearly 300% in cumulative terms for the 10 years through 2024’s third quarter, compared with 169% for its parent benchmark. Constituent companies like Blackstone, KKR, Partners Group, Ares, and ICG have seen their share prices surge.
Their success begs several questions. First, do these managers outperform their private-market investments? Second, what does the future hold for private-market investing? Third, how have public markets have changed as a result of private market expansion?
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